Deforestation in the Amazon, the world's largest rainforest9, is falling in Brazil but has not stopped. Brazil's official PRODES system measured 5,731 km² of forest cleared in the Legal Amazon between August 2024 and July 2025, 12% less than the year before1. Between 1985 and 2023, the Amazon countries lost more than 88 million hectares of forest, about 12.5% of their cover2.
Key points
- Amazonia spans nine countries. Brazil's Amazon biome alone covers 421 million hectares23.
- PRODES deforestation fell from 13,038 km² in 2021 to 5,731 km² in 202541.
- Cattle pasture is the first use of more than 90% of cleared land in the Brazilian Amazon3.
- Parts of the forest could flip to a drier, degraded state. Where the threshold lies is debated1213.
- Enforcement has worked before. The soy moratorium, a key supply-chain safeguard, unraveled in 20269.
How big is the Amazon, and how much has been lost?
The RAISG research network maps Amazonia as about 8.5 million km² across Brazil, Bolivia, Peru, Ecuador, Colombia, Venezuela, Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana2. Brazil's Amazon biome alone covers 421 million hectares, 49.5% of the country3.
The forest lost since 1985 covers an area almost the size of Colombia2. In Brazil's part, 52 million hectares of native vegetation are gone, 13% of what stood in 19853. Much of what remains is damaged: a 2024 review in Nature estimated that 17% of the remaining forest is degraded by logging, fire and edge effects, and up to 38% if repeated droughts are counted13.
Is Amazon deforestation going down?
In Brazil, yes. The space agency INPE has measured Amazon deforestation with PRODES since 1988. It counts clear-cuts larger than 6.25 hectares in the nine states of the Legal Amazon, in years that run from August to July5.
| PRODES year (August to July) | Deforestation (km²) |
|---|---|
| 20194 | 10,129 |
| 20204 | 10,851 |
| 20214 | 13,038 |
| 20224 | 11,594 |
| 20236 | 9,064 |
| 20245 | 6,518 |
| 20251 | 5,731 |
The recent peak came in 2021, and the rate has fallen every year since. The 2025 figure is 12.07% below 2024. Mato Grosso, a soy and cattle heartland, was the only Legal Amazon state where it rose, by 26.73%1.
The early signal for 2026 also points down. INPE's DETER system, which flags clearing in near real time for enforcement teams, recorded 2,874 km² of alerts from August 2025 to July 2026, about 36% less than a year earlier and the lowest in its series7. Alerts are not the official rate, so the PRODES figure for 2026 may differ. MapBiomas, which checks alerts across the Amazon biome, counted 289,478 hectares cleared in calendar year 2025, down 23.5%8.
What is driving deforestation in the Amazon?
Cattle
Cattle come first. MapBiomas tracked what happened to land after clearing: in every year from 1987 to 2022, pasture was the first use of more than 90% of it. Pasture in the Brazilian Amazon grew from about 12.3 million hectares in 1985 to 56.1 million in 20243. Across Brazil, permanent agriculture, mostly cattle and soy, caused 73% of primary forest loss from 2002 to 20259. See what is causing deforestation for the global picture.
Soy, land grabbing and mining
Soy was once a direct driver, until a traders' pact launched in 2006 largely broke the link (see below)16. Some clearing is speculation: land grabbers cut public forest and put cattle on it to stake a claim. Mining is spreading fast. Across Amazonia, the area used for mining grew by 1,063% between 1985 and 20232.
Fire and roads
Fire finishes the job. Farmers burn felled trees to clear the ground, and the flames dry out the surrounding forest12. In 2024, during a record drought, fires caused about two-thirds of Brazil's primary forest loss10. Roads open the door: nearly 95% of deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon happened within 5.5 km of a road or 1 km of a river11.
Flying rivers and the tipping point
The Amazon makes much of its own rain. Trees pull water from the soil and breathe it out as vapor, and air crossing the basin from the Atlantic drops that moisture as rain and picks it up again. Lovejoy and Nobre summarized evidence that the forest generates about half of its own rainfall by recycling moisture five to six times12. These airborne streams, often called "flying rivers", reach far beyond the forest, supplying moisture to the Pantanal wetlands and the La Plata basin13.
Clear enough forest and the rain machine weakens. In 2018, Lovejoy and Nobre argued that deforestation, warming and fire together could tip eastern, southern and central Amazonia toward non-forest ecosystems at 20–25% deforestation12. A 2024 Nature review led by Bernardo Flores estimated that by 2050, 10% to 47% of Amazonian forests will face combined stresses that may trigger unexpected transitions. It proposed keeping deforestation below 10% of the original forest, and warming at 1.5 °C, as a safe boundary. The biome has already lost about 13%13.
The science is a warning, not a countdown. The same review stresses that the forest's complexity makes its future uncertain, and that collapse could be local, regional or even biome-wide13. No study fixes a date for Amazon dieback. Read more about the effects of deforestation.
Indigenous territories and what has worked
Indigenous lands are among the best-protected forests in Amazonia. Between 1985 and 2023, only 6.5% of the natural vegetation lost across the region was inside Indigenous territories and protected areas2. Near roads and rivers, 10.9% of protected land had been cleared, against 43.6% of unprotected land11.
Enforcement works when it is used. Brazil launched its Amazon action plan, PPCDAm, in 2004, and deforestation fell from 27,772 km² that year to 4,571 km² in 2012. Research credits the plan's policies, not only falling crop prices14. Relaunched under President Lula, the plan now covers all biomes, and the federal environment agency IBAMA issued 81% more violation notices in 2023–2025 than in 2020–20229.
Supply chains can help. Under the Amazon Soy Moratorium, launched in 2006, traders agreed not to buy soy grown on Amazon land cleared after July 200816. Before the pact, about 30% of soy expansion in the Amazon came through deforestation. Afterward, about 1% did15.
That safeguard is now coming apart. Several states removed tax incentives for companies in the pact, and major traders said in early 2026 that they would leave it9. In August 2026, Brazil's Supreme Court found the pact constitutional but upheld state laws that take tax benefits away from those who follow it16. See solutions to deforestation and the latest deforestation statistics.
Questions people ask
How much of the Amazon rainforest has been destroyed?
What is the main cause of deforestation in the Amazon?
Is Amazon deforestation increasing or decreasing?
Is the Amazon close to a tipping point?
Possibly, in parts. Lovejoy and Nobre put a tipping point at 20–25% deforestation for eastern, southern and central Amazonia12. A 2024 Nature review proposes a safer limit of 10%, notes the biome has already lost about 13%, and stresses deep uncertainty about when and where transitions could happen13.
Sources
- INPE (2026). Sistema do INPE aponta 5.731 km² de desmatamento na Amazônia em 2025. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- RAISG (2024). La Amazonía sufrió una pérdida de bosques casi tan grande como el tamaño de Colombia, revela análisis de MapBiomas. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- MapBiomas (2025). Destaques do Mapeamento Anual de Cobertura e Uso da Terra, Bioma Amazônia, 1985 a 2024 (Coleção 10). Accessed 11 October 2026.
- Ministério do Meio Ambiente (2023). Resultados do PRODES 2022/23, Bioma Amazônia (briefing slides). Accessed 11 October 2026.
- INPE (2025). Estimativa de desmatamento na Amazônia Legal para 2025 é de 5.796 km² (technical note). Accessed 11 October 2026.
- INPE and Ministério do Meio Ambiente (2024). Resultados do PRODES 2023/2024, Amazônia e Cerrado (briefing slides, copy hosted by Poder360). Accessed 11 October 2026.
- INPE (2026). Governo Federal apresenta dados que indicam redução do desmatamento nos biomas brasileiros. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- MapBiomas (2026). Desmatamento no Brasil fica abaixo de 1 milhão de hectares em 2025. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- World Resources Institute (2026). Tropical Rainforest Loss Slowed in 2025, but Fire is a Growing Threat to Forests Worldwide (Global Forest Review). Accessed 11 October 2026.
- World Resources Institute (2025). Global Forest Loss Shatters Records in 2024, Fueled by Massive Fires. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- Barber, C.P. et al. (2014). Roads, deforestation, and the mitigating effect of protected areas in the Amazon. Biological Conservation 177. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- Lovejoy, T.E. and Nobre, C. (2018). Amazon Tipping Point. Science Advances 4. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- Flores, B.M. et al. (2024). Critical transitions in the Amazon forest system. Nature 626. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- Climate Policy Initiative (2021). Evidence Pack. Accessed 11 October 2026.
- University of Wisconsin–Madison (2015). Study shows Brazil's Soy Moratorium still needed to preserve Amazon (on Gibbs et al., Science 347). Accessed 11 October 2026.
- Associated Press via WTOP (2026). Brazil Supreme Court upholds laws that led to downfall of Amazon soy moratorium. Accessed 11 October 2026.